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AUD/USD: Waiting on Chinese Inflation Figures

AUD/USD remains steady near a two-and-half-week high reached during Friday’s Asian session as traders choose to wait ahead of Chinese inflation figures while being supported by RBA’s hawkish tilt earlier in the week.

Japan’s Money Supply: A Slight Dip in Growth in July

Japan’s money supply, as measured by M2, experienced a slight dip in growth in July, raising concerns about the country’s economic outlook. M2 refers to the broad money supply, which includes cash, coins, and various types of deposits held by individuals and businesses. The recent decline in M2 growth has prompted analysts to closely examine the factors contributing to this trend and its potential implications for Japan’s economy.

Factors Influencing Japan’s Money Supply

Several factors have contributed to the recent slowdown in Japan’s money supply growth. These include:

• Easing of monetary policy: The Bank of Japan’s decision to ease its monetary policy has led to a decrease in the growth of money supply. This has been a deliberate strategy to address inflation concerns and stimulate economic growth.
• Low interest rates: Japan’s prolonged period of low interest rates has also played a role in the slowing growth of M2. Low interest rates discourage deposit accumulation and can lead to reduced money supply growth.
• Weakening consumer spending: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on consumer confidence and spending has had a dampening effect on the overall circulation of money in the economy, contributing to the slowdown in money supply growth.

Implications for Japan’s Economy

The dip in money supply growth in Japan has raised concerns about the country’s economic prospects. A slowdown in money supply growth can have several implications for the economy, including:

• Reduced liquidity: A slower growth in money supply can lead to reduced liquidity in the financial system, potentially constraining lending and investment activities.
• Impact on inflation: Slower money supply growth can affect inflation dynamics, leading to lower consumer spending and overall economic activity.
• Economic outlook: The recent developments in Japan’s money supply growth may impact the country’s overall economic outlook, influencing factors such as GDP growth and employment levels.

Addressing the Challenges

To address the challenges posed by the dip in money supply growth, policymakers and financial authorities in Japan may consider implementing various measures, including:

• Adjusting monetary policy: The Bank of Japan may consider adjusting its monetary policy to support money supply growth while addressing inflation concerns.
• Stimulating demand: Efforts to stimulate consumer and business demand through targeted fiscal measures can help boost money circulation and support economic activity.
• Supporting lending activities: Financial institutions may explore avenues to support lending activities, ensuring adequate liquidity in the market.

The Way Forward

Despite the current challenges related to money supply growth, there are potential avenues for addressing these issues and supporting Japan’s economic recovery. By implementing targeted policies and measures, the country can strive to mitigate the impact of the recent dip in money supply growth and foster sustainable economic growth in the future.

Conclusion

The recent dip in Japan’s money supply growth warrants attention from policymakers and market participants, given its potential implications for the country’s economic outlook. Understanding the factors contributing to this trend and proactively addressing the associated challenges can help support Japan’s economic recovery and stability.

Japan’s Money Supply Growth (July 2021)

Indicator	Value
M2 Money Supply Growth	0.5%
Bank of Japan’s Policy Rate	-0.1%

US Dollar Holds Near Weekly High Against Japanese Yen

USD/JPY trades near its weekly range peak in Friday’s Asian session due to support from BoJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida’s rate signal earlier in addition to a risk-on impulse which undermines JPY strength amid modest USD uptick.

Gold Price Sees Mild Decline Amid Positive Market Sentiment

Gold price experiences slight downward movement during Friday’s Asian session due to modest USD strength following recent improvements in US bond yields reining back XAU/USD upside while dovish Fed expectations provide some cushion against geopolitical tensions.

Risk Assets Begin Recovery After Monday Panic

Market sentiment has gradually improved after Monday’s turmoil characterized by fear about global economic slowdown and heightened geopolitical tension which caused severe market pressure but eventually paved way for recovery.